Analysis of Effect of Price and Non Price Determinants toward Procurement of Rice from Regional Rice Production by Badan Urusan Logistik Divisi Regional of South Sumatra Indonesia

Alamsyah, Idham and Minha, Amruzi and Mulyana, Andy and Yamin, Muhammad and Marwa, Taufiq (2012) Analysis of Effect of Price and Non Price Determinants toward Procurement of Rice from Regional Rice Production by Badan Urusan Logistik Divisi Regional of South Sumatra Indonesia. In: Proceeding The 13th Malaysia Indonesia International Conference on Economics, Management, Accounting. MIICEMA 2012, Palembang, pp. 992-997. ISBN 979-587-429-2

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      Abstract

      The research objectives are: to descriptive analyze the results of the statistic test econometric model of determinants of procurement of rice from reginal rice production by Logistic Affairs Agency (Bulog) Regional Division (Divre) South Sumatra which had been built. Research methods: using a multiple regression statistical analysis of secondary data span of 48 months from January 2008 until December 2011, where the procurement determinant of rice from regional rice production by Bulog of Shouth Sumatera (ADt) as an endogenous variable, and determinants of regional rice production previous time period (PBt-1), the distribution of rice to the poor or raskin rice previous time period (RKt-1), the distribution of rice for the social needs of non raskin rice previous time period (DLt-1), time trend or dummy season (DMt), the availability of rice in South Sumatra Bulog (XXt), and the price of rice (HBGt), and other unpredictable factors (U) defined as exogenous variables. In equation form: ADt = e0 + e1 PBt-1 + e2 RK-1 + e3 DLt-1 + e4 DMt-1 + e5 XXT + e6 HBGt + U. Prediction model using a computer application program SAS (statistical analysis system) by the method of prediction models: a method 3SLS (three-stage least squares). Research hypothesis: e3> 0; and e1, e2, e4, e5, e6 <0. The results showed: The value of R² = 0.6137 in equation of estimators response of rice procurement from regional rice production by Bulog Divre South Sumatera demonstrated the ability of various determinants to explain the behavior of each response to the procurement of rice from the regional rice production is quite good. The sign and magnitude of each parameter presumably quite rational. F-statistics value is also quite high. Thus, in general it can be said that all factors estimate in the equation of the behavior of rice procurement from regional rice production by Bulog Divre South Sumatera have used perform such as expected in this study. The determinant of regional rice production period t-1 (PBt-1) and the distribution of rice to the poor (raskin rice) time period t-1 (RKt-1) less effect on the procurement of rice from the regional rice production by Bulog Divre Shouth Sumatera. Distribution of rice for the purposes of social (non raskin rice) time period t-1 (DLt-1) have a significant positive effect according to the hypothesis. Time trend (DMt-1), the availability of rice in Bulog (XXt) and rice prices prevailing in the market (HBGt) have a significant negative effect consistent with the hypothesis. Key words: determinants, procurement of rice, the regression

      Item Type: Book Section
      Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
      Divisions: Faculty of Economics > Department of Economics and Development Studies
      Depositing User: Taufiq Marwah
      Date Deposited: 04 Dec 2013 11:30
      Last Modified: 08 Dec 2013 10:31
      URI: http://eprints.unsri.ac.id/id/eprint/3103

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